Let

be a random variable with distribution

. A success is when

. Now repeat 15 times (each trial is independent), denoting the

trial as

.

(i.e. the probabilities of success) are constant with respect to

. In other words, you have 15 independent trials, success is constant (

), and you are asked what is the probability of at least 2 successes. This smells like a binomial distribution if you let

be the number of successes.
You use the

distribution only to calculate

.

(from

table)
Make sense?