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Old November 11th, 2009, 10:19 PM
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Default Binomial probability

A poll shows that 70% of all voters approve of the mayor's work. On three separate occasions a pollster selects a voter at random. What is the probabilty that on exactly one of these three occasions the voter approves of the mayor's work?

Could someone please explain this as easy as possible?

Vicky.

Thanks.

Last edited by mr fantastic; November 12th, 2009 at 03:04 AM.
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Old November 12th, 2009, 03:05 AM
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A poll shows that 70% of all voters approve of the mayor's work. On three separate occasions a pollster selects a voter at random. What is the probabilty that on exactly one of these three occasions the voter approves of the mayor's work?

Could someone please explain this as easy as possible?

Vicky.

Thanks.
If X is the random variable 'number of voters who approve of the mayor' then X ~ Binomial(n = 3, p = 0.7). Calculate Pr(X = 1).
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Old November 12th, 2009, 07:34 PM
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Originally Posted by mr fantastic View Post
If X is the random variable 'number of voters who approve of the mayor' then X ~ Binomial(n = 3, p = 0.7). Calculate Pr(X = 1).

Thanks for your help. But I don't know what Binomial probability means.
But I could think of three cases

1st person 2nd person 3rd person

1 approve disapprove disapprove

2 disapprove approve disapprove

3 diapprove disapprove approve


Could you please help me a little more?

Vicky.



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Old November 12th, 2009, 10:27 PM
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Originally Posted by Vicky1997 View Post
Thanks for your help. But I don't know what Binomial probability means.
But I could think of three cases

1st person 2nd person 3rd person

1 approve disapprove disapprove

2 disapprove approve disapprove

3 diapprove disapprove approve


Could you please help me a little more?

Vicky.


Calculate the probability of each outcome. Add the results. That's the answer.
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Old November 14th, 2009, 09:14 PM
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Calculate the probability of each outcome. Add the results. That's the answer.
I think I got the answer.

7/10 X 3/10 X 3/10 = 63/1000

3/10 X 7/10 X 3/10 = 63/1000

3/10 X 3/10 X 7/10 = 63/1000

189/1000

Thanks!!!

Last edited by Vicky1997; November 14th, 2009 at 10:46 PM.
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Old November 15th, 2009, 02:28 AM
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Originally Posted by Vicky1997 View Post
I think I got the answer.

7/10 X 3/10 X 3/10 = 63/1000

3/10 X 7/10 X 3/10 = 63/1000

3/10 X 3/10 X 7/10 = 63/1000

189/1000

Thanks!!!
Correct. (And you're welcome).
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