Math Help Forum

Math Help Forum Feed Site Feed

Go Back   Math Help Forum > Pre-University Math Help > Basic Statistics and Probability
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old January 12th, 2009, 07:32 PM
Newbie
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 4
Country:
Thanks: 2
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
nac123 is on a distinguished road
Default A question on Probability and deviation HELP!

1. A hospital administrator knows from past experience that the amount of resuscitation kits needed per month is (approximately) normally distributed with mean of 120 and a standard deviation of 6. Determine the probability that in a randomly selected month, the hospital will need more than 130 resuscitation kits.

2.
The date of births is approximately normally distributed with a mean at 280 days gestation (this is the so-called “due date”) and a standard deviation of 8 days. Suppose that a pregnant woman will have a scheduled cesarean section to deliver her baby.
Determine how many days before the due date the cesarean section should be carried out so that there is no more than a 10 percent chance that the woman will go into labor before that date.

Reply With Quote
Advertisement
 
  #2  
Old January 12th, 2009, 09:43 PM
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 181
Country:
Thanks: 10
Thanked 89 Times in 85 Posts
nzmathman will become famous soon enough
Default

#1 is simply a case of finding P(X > 130). If you are using probability tables then change to the Z variable: Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

#2: P(T < k) = 0.1. You need to find a value k so that 10% of gestation periods are shorter than the time k. Inverse normal distribution.

Change to standard variable Z: P\left( Z < \frac{k - 280}{8} \right) = 0.1.

Looking at a probability table we can see that P(0 < Z < 1.282) = 0.4. This means that P(0 > Z > -1.282) = 0.4, as the normal distribution is symmetric about the mean.

So combining P(0 > Z > -1.282) = 0.4 and P(Z > 0) = 0.5 we get P(Z > -1.282) = 0.9 and thus P(Z < -1.282) = 0.1.

So the value \frac{k - 280}{8} = -1.282. Now solve for k to find the answer.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old January 12th, 2009, 10:08 PM
mr fantastic's Avatar
Flow Master

 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Zeitgeist
Posts: 12,237
Country:
Thanks: 2,574
Thanked 4,760 Times in 4,192 Posts
mr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond reputemr fantastic has a reputation beyond repute
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by nac123 View Post
1. A hospital administrator knows from past experience that the amount of resuscitation kits needed per month is (approximately) normally distributed with mean of 120 and a standard deviation of 6. Determine the probability that in a randomly selected month, the hospital will need more than 130 resuscitation kits.

2.
The date of births is approximately normally distributed with a mean at 280 days gestation (this is the so-called “due date”) and a standard deviation of 8 days. Suppose that a pregnant woman will have a scheduled cesarean section to deliver her baby.
Determine how many days before the due date the cesarean section should be carried out so that there is no more than a 10 percent chance that the woman will go into labor before that date.

1. Calculate Pr(X > 130). Read this thread (part (a)) and do a similar thing (only the numbers change): normal distribution help

2. Read this thread and do the same thing (only the numbers changes): Normal Distribution Help!!
__________________
There are two things you should never try to prove: the impossible and the obvious.

The greater danger for most of us lies not in setting our aim too high and falling short; but in setting our aim too low and achieving our mark. (Michelangelo Buonarroti)

  • To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

  • To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

  • To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

  • To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

  • To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.
Reply With Quote
The following users thank mr fantastic for this useful post:
Donate to MHF
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -7. The time now is 05:15 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2009, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SEO by vBSEO 3.2.0 ©2008, Crawlability, Inc.
©2005 - 2009 Math Help Forum


Math Help Forum is a community of maths forums with an emphasis on maths help in all levels of mathematics.
Register to post your math questions or just hang out and try some of our math games or visit the arcade.